GHG 101 – II: The Scope 3 Problem

A note before we begin: All scientific numbers here are estimates based on assessments available as of early 2025. They rely on complex climate modelling and come with uncertainty ranges.

Carbon accounting provides organisations with a systematic framework to measure, track, and report their greenhouse gas emissions. This helps both the organisation and external stakeholders understand environmental impact, set reduction targets, track progress, and make informed decisions about where to focus climate efforts.1

Carbon accounting isn’t just an academic exercise—it’s become essential for several interconnected reasons:2

  • First, it addresses social responsibility concerns and meets legal requirements that are rapidly expanding worldwide. Many governments now require various forms of emissions reporting, and there’s evidence that programs requiring greenhouse gas accounting actually help lower emissions.​
  • Second, carbon accounting enables investors to better understand the climate risks of companies they invest in. As climate change increasingly affects business operations—from supply chain disruptions to regulatory changes—understanding a company’s carbon footprint becomes crucial for financial due diligence.
  • Third, it supports the net zero emission goals that corporations, cities, and entire nations are adopting. Without accurate measurement, there’s no way to know if reduction efforts are working or where improvements are most needed.​

Carbon Budgets
A carbon budget represents the maximum amount of carbon dioxide that humanity can emit while still limiting global warming to a specific temperature threshold, such as 1.5°C or 2°C above pre-industrial levels.3

Carbon budget calculations rely on a scientific concept called Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Emissions (TCRE)—the relationship between cumulative of CO₂ emissions and the resulting temperature increase. Scientists have discovered that global temperature rise is roughly proportional to cumulative carbon emissions. This near-linear relationship is what makes the carbon budget concept possible.45

The IPCC assesses TCRE as likely falling between 0.8 and 2.5°C per 1,000 petagrams of carbon (roughly 0.0004 to 0.0007°C per gigatonne of CO₂). This means that for every 1,000 billion tonnes of CO₂ we emit, we can expect the planet to warm by somewhere in that range.5

To calculate a carbon budget for a specific temperature target, scientists work backward: they determine how much cumulative warming can occur (the temperature target minus warming that has already happened), then divide by the TCRE to get the remaining emissions allowance.56 However, this calculation must also account for non-CO₂ greenhouse gases like methane and nitrous oxide, which complicate the picture. This is done by equating the atmospheric warming provided by non-CO₂ greenhouse gases to that done by CO₂. This and other related concepts are explained in greater detail here.

As of early 2025, the remaining carbon budget to limit warming to 1.5°C with a 50% probability is approximately 130 billion tonnes of CO₂. At current emission rates of roughly 42 gigatonnes of CO₂ per year, this budget will be exhausted in just over three years.78 For context, that’s faster than most infrastructure projects take to complete.

For a slightly higher temperature limit of 1.7°C, the remaining budget is about 525 gigatonnes (roughly 12 years at current rates), and for 2°C, it’s approximately 1,055 gigatonnes (about 25 years at current emission levels).9

Carbon budgets translate into concrete timelines and targets. The roadmaps for achieving these targets are called emissions pathways, which are scenarios showing how greenhouse gas emissions might evolve over time, from today to some point in the future (typically 2030, 2050, or 2100).1011 These pathways are not predictions.12 Rather, they are scenarios showing what could happen under different assumptions, such as policy choices, technological change, behavioural shifts, and socio-economic developments. Our current business-as-usual pathway leads to approximately 2.6°C by 2100 of warming.10 To stay within the 1.5°C budget, global CO₂ emissions would need to reach net zero by around 2050.13 This requires cutting emissions by roughly 50% by 2030 compared to 2019 levels.14 These benchmarks form the basis for actual climate action in the form of national climate commitments (Nationally Determined Contributions or NDCs), corporate emissions reduction targets, and sector-specific goals like phasing out coal or transitioning to electric vehicles.

Scope 1, 2, and 3151617
Since we wish to reduce emissions, once we know which gases to count, the next step is to find out who is responsible for the emissions (since emissions happen at every stage of production and consumption). To understand this, scientists have organised them into three types of emissions based on where they occur in the supply chain of a product that is produced and then consumed.

In short:

  • Scope 1: What you emit with your own engines and factories
  • Scope 2: What you cause others to emit by buying power/ electricity from them
  • Scope 3: What happens because your product exists. This is typically the largest segment of emissions because the same physical emissions are intentionally counted from different points in the value chain—it’s a deliberate feature that allocates responsibility across the value chain rather than assigning blame to a single actor, because Scope 3 captures emissions in proportion with demand.

Now here are the detailed explanations:

Scope 1 covers direct greenhouse gas emissions from sources that an organization owns or controls. These are emissions you create directly through your operations. Examples include:​

  • Combustion in owned or controlled boilers, furnaces, and vehicles (like company cars or delivery trucks)​
  • Emissions from chemical production in owned or controlled process equipment​
  • Fugitive emissions from leaks in equipment or infrastructure (such as refrigerant leaking from air conditioning systems)​

Scope 2 includes indirect emissions from the generation of purchased energy—specifically electricity, steam, heating, and cooling consumed by the organization. While you don’t directly create these emissions, you’re indirectly responsible because you’re using the energy that required burning fossil fuels somewhere else.​

For example, when you turn on the lights in your office, a power plant might burn coal to generate that electricity. The emissions from the power plant are your Scope 2 emissions. This careful definition of Scope 2 ensures that the power plant reports those emissions as their Scope 1, while you report them as your Scope 2, which avoids double counting at the organisational level.

Scope 3 emissions are the most complex- both to count and to counter. Scope 3 includes all other indirect emissions that occur in an organization’s value chain- both upstream (before your operations) and downstream (after your operations). For most organisations, Scope 3 represents the largest portion of their carbon footprint, often accounting for more than 85% of total emissions.

The Greenhouse Gas Protocol breaks Scope 3 into 15 distinct categories to provide structure and avoid double counting. These categories are divided into upstream and downstream activities:

Upstream Scope 3 Categories (occurring before your operations):1819

  1. Purchased Goods and Services: Emissions from producing everything you buy—from raw materials to office supplies
  2. Capital Goods: Emissions from manufacturing physical assets like buildings, machinery, and equipment
  3. Fuel and Energy-Related Activities: Energy-related emissions not included in Scope 1 or 2, such as transmission losses or extraction of fuels
  4. Upstream Transportation and Distribution: Emissions from transporting purchased products to you
  5. Waste Generated in Operations: Emissions from treating and disposing of waste from your operations
  6. Business Travel: Emissions from employee travel in vehicles not owned by the company
  7. Employee Commuting: Emissions from employees traveling between home and work
  8. Upstream Leased Assets: Emissions from operating assets you lease (like leased vehicles or buildings)

Downstream Scope 3 Categories (occurring after your operations):1819

  1. Investments: Emissions associated with investments, loans, and financial services (particularly relevant for financial institutions)
  2. Downstream Transportation and Distribution: Emissions from transporting and distributing sold products
  3. Processing of Sold Products: Emissions from further processing of your intermediate products by others
  4. Use of Sold Products: Emissions created when customers use your products (huge for industries like automobiles or appliances)
  5. End-of-Life Treatment of Sold Products: Emissions from disposing of your products after customers are done with them
  6. Downstream Leased Assets: Emissions from assets you own but lease to others
  7. Franchises: Emissions from franchise operations (for franchisors)

The Scope 3 Problem
Why do we Count Scope 3 at all? Why not just Scope 1 and 2? The answer is simple: if only Scope 1 and 2 are counted, only a fraction of the true climate impact is being measured. For most organisations, the majority of their greenhouse gas emissions and cost reduction opportunities occur outside their direct operations, because On average across companies, Scope 3 emissions are approximately 26 times larger than Scope 1 and 2 emissions combined:20 no single company can really tell us the magnitude of consumption it supports if only S1 and S2 are counted. For many industries, the disproportion is even more extreme:

  • High Tech industry: Scope 3 emissions are 24 times greater than Scope 1 emissions and 13 times greater than Scope 2 emissions.21
  • Manufacturing: A manufacturing company analyzed their emissions and found steel procurement alone generated 125,000 metric tonnes of CO₂e annually, with transportation of sold products adding another 45,000 tonnes—these are all Scope 3.22

Think of a product you wish to purchase. It can be anything- a garment, a mobile phone, a table, or a service. If you decide to not buy it, does that product cease to exist? No. But if multiple people decide to not buy that product, the demand for it drops and over time it will not be produced any longer. This is why Scope 3 is attributed to the product being produced.

Other than measuring consumption, counting Scope 3 also serves critical business and accountability purposes:2324

  • Identifying Hotspots: You can’t reduce emissions in areas you haven’t measured. Scope 3 analysis reveals where the biggest opportunities lie—perhaps discovering that your transportation partner uses older, inefficient vehicles, or your primary supplier has no renewable energy strategy. Without this visibility, you’re flying blind.
  • Supplier Performance Differentiation: Scope 3 measurement lets you distinguish between suppliers who are climate leaders and those who are laggards in sustainability performance. This enables procurement decisions that reward sustainable practice and drive supply chain transformation.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Regulations like the EU’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) now mandate Scope 3 disclosure. Ignoring Scope 3 isn’t optional anymore—it’s legally required in many jurisdictions, with non-compliance risking fines and reputational damage.
  • Risk Mitigation: Supply chain disruptions, supplier insolvency, and climate-related impacts to suppliers threaten your business. Understanding Scope 3 helps identify and manage these risks.
  • Greenwashing Prevention: Companies that claim carbon neutrality while ignoring Scope 3 are engaged in greenwashing—making false environmental claims. Since Scope 3 often represents the majority of footprint, offsetting only Scopes 1 and 2 while ignoring the bulk of emissions is simply “addressing a fraction of actual environmental impact” while pretending to be carbon neutral.

Science-Based Targets Initiative (SBTi) now requires that any company whose Scope 3 emissions represent 40% or more of their total footprint (which is the vast majority of companies) must include Scope 3 in their net-zero commitments. Without this requirement, companies could take credit for reduction efforts that don’t touch the bulk of their emissions—fundamentally undermining climate goals.25

There are distinct and well made arguments against tallying Scope 3 emissions:

  • My personal objection is that Scope 3 needs to be restructured to better reflect consumer demand, rather than being presented in a nebulous way that makes it appear primarily as a production issue. Currently, individual customer emissions are only counted as Scope 3, Category 11 (“Use of Sold Products”) in any organisation’s inventory. They are not counted in Scope 1 or Scope 2 anywhere because S1, S2, and S3 emissions are designed to be calculated only for organisations, and not for individuals. This means that all user emissions will still not be captured in S1 and S2 measurement. However, the majority of global emissions are ultimately driven by individual consumption, not pure B2B organisational activity. Instead of counting and recounting emissions as S3, a metric focused on industry-level emissions output would be less confusing, require fewer justifications, and more clearly reveal who is producing and who is consuming what, making it easier to identify where we must make reductions.
  • Another reason Scope 3 numbers are so large is because they include lifetime emissions from products (like all the fuel a car will burn over its 15-year life), while Scope 1 and 2 are counted only for a single year. This mixing of annual and lifetime emissions inflates Scope 3 numbers.26

Let’s look at an example:

Imagine a company makes refrigerators and washing machines. What emissions are created when it buys steel, transports parts, and when customers actually use those fridges? The table below shows how far beyond direct emissions the real impact goes:

SCOPECATEGORYEMISSION SOURCESPECIFIC EXAMPLES
SCOPE 1Direct EmissionsCompany-owned vehicle fleet– Delivery trucks burning diesel to transport finished appliances to retailers
– Forklifts in factory warehouse using propane
On-site fuel combustion– Natural gas burned in factory heating systems
– Backup diesel generators at manufacturing facility
Refrigerant leaks– Fugitive emissions from refrigerants leaking during manufacturing and testing of refrigerators
– HFC leaks from factory air conditioning
SCOPE 2Indirect Energy EmissionsPurchased electricity– Electricity to power assembly line machinery and robotic equipment
– Factory lighting and HVAC systems
– Office building computers, servers, and air conditioning
Purchased heating/cooling– District heating purchased for office complex
– Chilled water purchased for manufacturing cooling processes
SCOPE 3 UPSTREAMCategory 1: Purchased Goods & ServicesRaw materials and components– Steel for refrigerator cabinets and washing machine drums
– Plastic for control panels and interior components
– Electronic circuit boards and control systems
– Insulation foam for refrigerators
– Motors and compressors purchased from suppliers
– Packaging materials (cardboard, foam, plastic wrap)
Services– Legal, accounting, and consulting services
– Marketing and advertising agencies
– Cleaning and facilities management
– IT software and cloud services
Category 2: Capital GoodsManufacturing equipment– Production machinery (stamping presses, welding robots)
– Factory buildings and warehouses
– Office furniture and equipment
Category 3: Fuel & Energy Related Activities (not in Scope 1 or 2)Upstream energy emissions– Extraction and refining of fuels the company purchases
– Transmission and distribution (T&D) losses from electricity grid
– Production of purchased electricity (upstream of generation)
Category 4: Upstream Transportation & DistributionInbound logistics– Third-party trucks transporting steel from supplier to factory
– Ships bringing electronic components from overseas
– Warehousing of components before manufacturing
Category 5: Waste Generated in OperationsManufacturing waste– Disposal of scrap metal and plastic from manufacturing
– Packaging waste from incoming components
– Hazardous waste (solvents, oils) disposal
Category 6: Business TravelEmployee travel– Flights for sales team and executives
– Hotel stays during business trips
– Rental cars at destination
Category 7: Employee CommutingDaily commutes– Employees driving personal cars to factory and offices
– Public transit use by employees
– Remote work avoided commutes (negative emissions)
Category 8: Upstream Leased AssetsLeased facilities/equipment– Emissions from operating leased warehouse space
– Leased delivery vehicles (if applicable)
SCOPE 3 DOWNSTREAMCategory 9: Downstream Transportation & DistributionOutbound logistics– Third-party trucks transporting finished appliances from factory to retail stores
– Storage in third-party distribution centers
– “Last mile” delivery to customer homes
Category 10: Processing of Sold ProductsFurther processing– (Not applicable for finished consumer appliances – only relevant if selling intermediate products)
Category 11: Use of Sold ProductsREFRIGERATORS: Lifetime electricity consumption– Refrigerator runs 24/7 for 12-15 year lifespan
– Estimated 500 kWh/year consumption2728 × 12 years × 50,000 units sold = 300 million kWh
– At 0.5 kg CO₂/kWh = 150,000 tonnes CO₂e

Also includes: Refrigerant leakage during use phase (slow release of HFCs over product lifetime)
WASHING MACHINES: Lifetime electricity consumption– Washing machine used ~250 cycles/year for 10-12 year lifespan
– Estimated 1.3 kWh per cycle (assuming warm water)2930 × 250 cycles/year3132 × 11 years × 50,000 units = 179 million kWh
– At 0.5 kg CO₂/kWh = 89,500 tonnes CO₂e

Also includes (optional): Hot water heating if machine uses hot water
Customer type doesn’t matter: Emissions counted identically whether customer is:
– Individual consumer using refrigerator at home
– Hotel using 50 refrigerators in rooms
– Laundromat using 20 commercial washing machines
Category 12: End-of-Life Treatment of Sold ProductsDisposal of products– Landfilling of plastic components (produces methane)
– Incineration of products (combustion emissions)
– Energy recovery from incineration (avoided emissions)
Recycling processes– Energy used in dismantling and recycling steel, plastic, electronics
– Metal smelting and reprocessing
Note: Recycling typically reduces emissions vs. landfill/incineration
Refrigerant recovery/disposal– Emissions from recovering and destroying refrigerants at disposal
– Accidental releases if refrigerants not properly recovered
Customer type doesn’t matter: Same disposal emissions whether disposed by:
– Individual homeowner
– Commercial hotel replacing room refrigerators
Category 13: Downstream Leased AssetsLeased-out assets– If company owns showrooms or warehouses leased to retailers (emissions from their operations)
Category 14: FranchisesFranchise operations– Not applicable (only relevant if company operates franchise business model)
Category 15: InvestmentsInvestment portfolio– Emissions from companies the manufacturer has invested in
– Relevant mainly for financial institutions
Emissions calculations for a company that makes refrigerators and washing machines

So the same physical emissions appear multiple times across different inventories—and that’s intentional.33 However, for products with essentially nil Category 11 and 12 emissions, the GHG protocol explicitly states that there is no requirement to consider them, and says that “Companies should account for and report on the Scope 3 categories that are relevant to their business.” A scope 3 category is relevant if it contributes significantly to the company’s total anticipated scope 3 emissions.”34 While materiality thresholds are industry- specific, these are typically used:34

  • Focus should be on categories representing ≥80% of estimated Scope 3;​​
  • Categories contributing <1% of total Scope 3 can often be excluded as immaterial
  • Categories contributing <5% of total footprint may be deprioritized

National Pathways
The global carbon budget gets divided among countries through their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), which is each country’s climate pledge under the Paris Agreement. Countries outline their post-2020 climate actions, setting targets for emission reductions aligned with their circumstances and capabilities.​35

Every five years, countries must submit new NDCs reflecting progressively higher ambition. The Paris Agreement includes transparency provisions requiring countries to track and report progress toward their NDCs through Biennial Transparency Reports and national greenhouse gas inventories.​3637

These national commitments translate into sector-specific pathways showing how different parts of the economy—energy, transportation, industry, buildings, agriculture—must evolve to meet overall targets.38 For example, India’s 2030 targets include achieving 500 GW of renewable energy capacity and meeting 50% of energy requirements from renewables.​39

Unfortunately, current national commitments fall well short of what’s needed to stay within safe temperature limits. Even if all countries fully implemented their NDCs, we would still far exceed the 1.5°C carbon budget and likely breach the 2°C threshold as well. This shortfall—called the “emissions gap”—represents the difference between where current policies will take us and where we need to be.8

To stay within the 1.5°C budget, global CO₂ emissions must reach net zero (where removals equal emissions) by around 2050.13 For all greenhouse gases (including methane and others), net zero must occur in the second half of the century.40 Reaching net zero requires dramatic transformations: phasing out unabated fossil fuel consumption, scaling up renewable energy, electrifying transportation and industry, halting deforestation, and deploying carbon removal technologies.41 The pace of change needed is extraordinary—cutting emissions by nearly 6 gigatonnes per year (6 gigatonnes = 6 billion tonnes = 6,000,000,000 tonnes of CO₂: Average car emissions: ~4.6 tonnes CO₂/year of a typical petrol car driven ~20,000 km/year,42 6 gigatonnes = 1.3 billion cars’ worth of annual emissions, OR one homemade cake baked in an oven: ~0.5 kg CO₂,43 so 6 gigatonnes = 12 trillion cakes, which is 1,500 cakes per person on Earth) starting immediately.8

In conclusion, unlike many pollutants that eventually break down or wash out of the atmosphere, CO₂ persists for centuries to millennia. This means that climate change is determined not by our annual emission rate, but by the cumulative sum of all emissions over time.44 Whether we emit a tonne today or ten years from now matters less than the total cumulative amount we emit.44

This cumulative relationship is what makes carbon budgets meaningful.45 Each year of current emissions consumes our remaining budget, bringing us closer to temperature thresholds.9 The remaining budget for 1.5°C shrinks annually, and at current emission rates of about 42 gigatonnes per year, it dwindles rapidly.​9

So here’s the Scope 3 Problem: most emissions are driven by what we collectively choose to produce and consume, not just how efficiently we run factories or power offices. Improving Scope 1 and 2 emissions is essential and non-negotiable. But even a fully electrified, renewable-powered industrial system will still emit too much if it continues to produce ever-growing volumes of energy- and material-intensive goods. This is ultimately why Scope 3 emissions matter so much, despite their accounting complexity. A product’s emissions are not inevitable facts of nature: they are contingent on demand. Understanding Scope 3 emissions exposes collective consumption—not just operational efficiency—as the core challenge driving climate change.

Sources

  1. Carbon Accounting Explained | CarbonChain
  2. Carbon Accounting Guide for Business 2025 | Ecoskills Academy
  3. The Global Carbon Budget FAQs 2025 | Global Carbon Budget
  4. Assessing the size and uncertainty of remaining carbon budgets | Nature Climate Change
  5. Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled | IIASA
  6. The Remaining Carbon Budget: A Review | Frontiers in Climate
  7. Current Remaining Carbon Budget and Trajectory Till Exhaustion | Climate Change Tracker
  8. 1.5 Degrees C Target Explained | WRI
  9. Fossil-fuel CO2 emissions to set new record in 2025 as land sink recovers | Carbon Brief
  10. Emissions pathways to 2100 | Climate Action Tracker
  11. Chapter 3: Mitigation pathways compatible with long-term goals | IPCC AR6 WGIII
  12. IPCC AR6 WGIII Annex III | IPCC
  13. Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C | IPCC
  14. IPCC AR6 WGIII Summary for Policymakers | IPCC
  15. Explaining Scope 1, 2 & 3 | India GHG Program
  16. Scope 1, 2 & 3 Emissions Explained | CarbonNeutral
  17. Scope 1, 2 & 3 Emissions | CarbonChain
  18. Exploring the 15 Categories of Scope 3 Emissions | LinkedIn
  19. Upstream vs. Downstream Emissions | Persefoni
  20. Supply chain Scope 3 emissions are 26 times higher than operational emissions | CDP
  21. Can You See Your Scope 3? | Accenture
  22. Scope 3 Carbon Emissions Examples Unveiled | Ecohedge
  23. What are Scope 3 emissions and why do they matter? | Carbon Trust
  24. Scope 3 Emissions Examples in Supply Chains | Ecohedge
  25. Scope 3: Stepping up science-based action | Science Based Targets
  26. Myth-busting: Are corporate Scope 3 emissions far greater than Scopes 1 or 2? | GHG Institute
  27. Electricity Use in Homes | U.S. EIA
  28. Bureau of Energy Efficiency India | BEE
  29. Clothes Washers | ENERGY STAR
  30. Product Environmental Footprint | European Commission
  31. Clothes Washers | U.S. Department of Energy
  32. EU Regulation 1015/2010 – Washing Machines | EUR-Lex
  33. Scope 3 Frequently Asked Questions | GHG Protocol
  34. Corporate Value Chain (Scope 3) Accounting and Reporting Standard | GHG Protocol
  35. Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) | UNFCCC
  36. MRV Systems: Reporting | CCAFS
  37. Central Asia Guidance Document of NDC Reporting | Climate Action Transparency
  38. Tracking progress towards NDCs | OECD
  39. Net Zero Emissions Target | Press Information Bureau, Government of India
  40. Chapter 2 | IPCC SR15
  41. Net Zero by 2050 | IEA
  42. Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle | U.S. EPA
  43. How carbon-heavy is my favourite cake? | Decarbonate
  44. Chapter 5: Global Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks | IPCC AR6 WGI
  45. Summary for Policymakers | IPCC AR6 WGI

Decarbonising the healthcare sector

I’ve unfortunately had a fair few run ins with the medical sector in India since 2023, and that has naturally made me curious about how it operates, especially from the point of view of decarbonisation (also, for anyone who is curious, the operation theatre I was operated upon in looked more like an enormous store room than what they look like in Grey’s Anatomy). Here’s what I found out.

The Sector
The healthcare sector is a sprawl of the multiple interacting industries, and includes healthcare providers (hospitals, clinics, nursing homes, physiotherapy), medical equipment & supplies (devices, diagnostic machines, consumables), pharmaceuticals & biotechnology (drug/vaccine makers, gene therapy, diagnostics), health IT & digital health (electronic records, telemedicine, AI platforms), managed Care/insurance (public/private health insurers, billing services), medical research & education (clinical trials, medical/nursing colleges, consulting), and ancillary/ wellness industries (medical tourism, public health, waste disposal). There’s also sectoral overlap with the real estate sector for the buildings these services are performed, or equipment manufacture at, supply chain and logistics, food and nutrition, and marketing.

So that’s a lot.

Global Statistics
All these industries accounted for approximately 10% of worldwide GDP- translating to nearly $10 trillion in health spending annually.1 At the moment, the sector is the 5th largest emitter in the world, making for between 4.4% (2019) and 5.2% of total global greenhouse gas emissions currently12, and might reach 6 gigatons by 2050 without aggressive decarbonisation efforts.1 To help put this into perspective, 6 gigatons are 6,000,000,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide (CO₂). A typical passenger vehicle emits about 4.6 metric tons of CO₂3 per year, so the sector may emit as much as 1.3 billion passenger cars by 2050- and there are currently between 1.23 to 1.47 billion passenger cars in operation worldwide.45

Before we go into the energy use, let’s understand how the emission break ups are categorised (Emissions are organised into three “scopes” to make it easier to identify where pollution comes from and how to address it): Scope 1 emissions are those emitted directly by the activities performed by the emitter, for example, the gas burned in your hospital’s boilers, emissions from ambulances and owned vehicles, or fumes from certain medical gases; Scope 2 emissions are indirect emissions related to the electricity, steam, heating, or cooling you purchase from someone else (like a utility company)- the pollution from this type of usage is created at the point of energy generation; and Scope 3 emissions are those not covered in the previous two, but are still only produced to be used in the healthcare sector- this makes it the trickiest and also the largest part of all the emissions from the sector- it includes the entire supply chain- so, for example, if a hospital buys a surgical kit, Scope 3 includes the emissions from making, packaging, and delivering it.

So now onto the break ups: globally these industries used 17% for Scope 1 emissions, 12% for Scope 2, and the remaining (71%) for Scope 3 uses in 2019.2

The India Story
The Indian healthcare sector made up 3.3% of national GDP as of 2022 (USD 80 per capita7), with expectations of this rising to 5% by 2030.6 India’s GDP in 2022 was approximately $3.35 trillion USD.89 India’s total GHG emissions in 2022 were about 217.9 million metric tons CO₂ equivalent.10 3.3% of National GHG Emissions (if scaled directly from GDP share) would be 217.9 million tonnes multiplied by 3.3%, or 217.9 multiplied by 0.033, which is approximately 7.19 million metric tons CO₂ equivalent (1,563,000 passenger cars). Actual sectoral emissions may vary depending on emissions intensity (a measure of how much energy is used to produce a unit of economic output). The Indian healthcare sector is estimated to account for about 2%11 of national GHG emissions (4.36 million metric tons ÷ 4.6 ≈ 948,000 passenger cars), but if we scale strictly by GDP share (because there are no confirmed numbers), this figure is about 7.2 million metric tons CO₂e for 2022. I’ve also taken it as an equivalent percentage of GDP rather than the reported numbers because the Indian healthcare sector was estimated to emit 2% of India’s total GHG emissions in 20192, but between 2019 and 2022, the Indian healthcare sector grew by 17.5% annually12, significantly outpacing the growth of the economy as a whole between these years89. The healthcare sector’s 17+% CAGR versus the broader economy’s 7–8% CAGR means healthcare’s portion of the economy (and its GHG emissions footprint) increased during these years, likely easily outstripping the 2% estimate for 2019.

Decarbonisation Pathways

Why Is Healthcare So Carbon-Intensive? Because it uses a lot of energy, equipment, and material, many of which are:

  • Single-use: For sterility and safety, everything from syringes to gowns and often surgical tools are single-use. Single-use medical devices and consumables can account for up to 86% of the total carbon footprint of a hospital surgery, driven mostly by the production and use of such disposable items.14
  • Resource intensive: Hospitals need round-the-clock, energy-guzzling HVAC, lighting, emergency backup power, and sterilisation.2
  • Dependent on imports: Many hospitals, especially in countries like India, depend on imported medical technology, devices, and pharmaceuticals. The carbon footprint of these goods includes not just their production but also packaging, long-haul transport, and storage, increasing the indirect (Scope 3) emissions portion of healthcare’s footprint.15
  • Hazardous waste products: (e.g., sharps, blood-stained items, infectious waste) along with general plastic and food waste. Treatment and safe disposal—often via incineration—consumes a lot of energy and may itself release greenhouse gases and toxic substances such as dioxins and furans.16
Relationship between the healthcare system, climate change, and sustainability strategies and interventions. Source: The role of the health sector in tackling climate change: A narrative review – Zeynep Or, Anna-Veera Seppänen

A number of general and specialised strategies can be used to decarbonise operations in the healthcare sector.

General strategies (common to all energy users):

  • Transition to Renewable Energy: Switching to solar, wind, hydroelectric, and even geothermal sources for electricity, dramatically cutting GHG emissions. On-site solar photovoltaic (PV) installations, especially in hospitals, are reducing operational costs and increasing resilience.
  • Onsite energy generation: While not quire fully operational, or even fully sustainable yet, non renewable energy generation such as cogeneration or trigeneration, are certainly better than grid electricity usage as they will reduce transmission and distribution losses, and further the waste heat can be used to generate both heating and cooling, or both, for the premises.
  • Energy Efficiency Improvements: Upgrading and retrofitting buildings with energy-efficient lighting, HVAC (heating, ventilation, air conditioning), chillers, star-rated equipment, and insulation cuts down consumption by 30–50% in some cases. Use of variable frequency drives (VFDs)17, intelligent sensors, and IoT-based monitoring allows real-time optimization.
  • Green Building Design and Retrofitting: Buildings that follow green building codes and energy conservation codes consume fewer resources, while existing facilities can be retrofitted with modern energy management systems and green technologies.
  • Decarbonizing Supply Chains: Emphasis on green procurement, sustainable sourcing, and responsible supplier engagement ensures that scope 3 emissions are reduced and managed on an continuously.
  • Waste Management and Reduction: Sustainable waste handling, recycling, and waste-to-energy programs decrease landfill emissions and support circular economy practices.
  • Renewable or Low-GWP Refrigerants: A shift to low global warming potential (GWP) refrigerants to meet emerging regulations and climate commitments. (Global Warming Potential (GWP) is a measure of how much a greenhouse gas traps heat in the atmosphere compared to the same amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) over a specific time period, usually 100 years.18) Moving to refrigerants with GWPs far below 700 can cut emissions from these systems by as much as 78% (relative to older HFCs).19

Healthcare-specific strategies:

  • Low-carbon pharmaceuticals: Pharmaceuticals are among the highest-emitting components of healthcare’s carbon footprint, often due to energy-intensive manufacturing, complex supply chains, and waste at the point of use. A McKinsey study found that adopting green-chemistry principles to redesign synthetic processes and use recyclable solvents could cut pharmaceutical active ingredient (API) manufacturing emissions by up to 30%.20
  • Reducing Low-Value Care: Avoiding unnecessary admissions, surgeries, and tests not only saves resources but reduces both direct (hospital-based) and indirect (supply-chain) emissions. Evidence-based guidelines to minimize unwarranted care can have substantial savings.21
  • Telemedicine and home- based care: Shifting care (where safe and appropriate) from hospitals to home or community settings lowers the need for energy-intensive infrastructure. For instance, remote physiotherapy after surgery demonstrated fewer rehospitalizations and better outcomes at lower environmental cost.21
  • Digistisation of care: Telehealth cut CO₂ emissions associated with cancer care by over 80% at one major U.S. center. Another 2023 multi-state analysis found telehealth averted 21.4–47.6 million kg of CO₂ per month—equivalent to keeping up to 130,000 cars off the road every month.22
  • Treatments: Anaesthetic gases (like desflurane and nitrous oxide) have very high GWPs and alternatives (total intravenous or regional/local anesthesia) can be used where clinically appropriate without compromising treatment outcomes and patient health.23

The healthcare sector is a vital, vibrant part of our world. It’s complexities and interdependencies make it difficult to decarbonise, not least that each decision should be made keeping patient service in mind, and at first it looks like decarbonisation does the opposite. Yet, we also know that climate change is making people sick: heatwaves, floods, wildfires, and storms are becoming more frequent and severe, and the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that between 2030 and 2050, climate change will cause roughly 250,000 additional deaths per year from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea, and heat stress alone- in some regions, heat-related deaths among people over 65 have risen by 70% in two decades24; vector-borne diseases (like malaria, dengue, and Zika) are spreading to new areas as rising temperatures and altered rainfall enable disease-carrying insects to thrive in new regions and seasons, and water- and food- borne illnesses become more common when heavy rains, floods, or droughts contaminate water sources or affect food supply chains25; rising air pollution including smog and higher particulate matter in the air we breathe smog and particulates), increases rates of asthma, chronic lung conditions, and cardiovascular disease affecting children, people with chronic illnesses, and urban residents are especially vulnerable; crop failures contribute to malnutrition and stunting2425; extreme events, displacement, and ecosystem loss contribute to greater rates of anxiety, depression, PTSD, and other mental health disruptions26; rising seas, severe storms, and food/water shortages also force people from their homes, increasing displacement, conflict, and health emergencies- often overwhelming local health systems and worsening inequities24… and working on sectoral decarbonisation will help those same people the sector works to protect.


Sources

  1. Five Fast Facts on Healthcare’s Climate Footprint
  2. Healthcare’s Climate Footprint – How the global health sector contributes to the global climate crisis and opportunities for action – Health Care Without Harm (Climate-smart health care series) Produced in collaboration with Arup, September 2019
  3. Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle
  4. Number of Cars in the World? Actual Answer
  5. Number of Cars in the World 2025: Key Stats & Figures
  6. India’s healthcare expenditure expected to surge from 3.3% to 5% of its GDP by 2030: CareEdge
  7. India’s Healthcare Expenditure Expected to Surge from 3.3% to 5% of its GDP by 2030 – CareEdge
  8. India GDP Macrotrends
  9. India: Gross domestic product (GDP) in current prices from 1987 to 2030(in billion U.S. dollars) – Statista
  10. India Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Tonnes of CO2 Equivalent per Year: Fuel Exploitation
  11. The healthcare sector needs to lead the way on decarbonisation – Asian Hospital and Healthcare Management
  12. Indian Healthcare Market projected to reach $638 billion by 2025: Bajaj Finserv AMC
  13. Decarbonizing the Health Care System
  14. Experts address single-use plastics in healthcare – University of Edinburgh
  15. Why India is poised to become a global hub for MedTech manufacturing
  16. Healthcare Waste—A Serious Problem for Global Health
  17. What is a VFD?
  18. The Future of Refrigeration: Low-GWP Refrigerants
  19. Innovating for Impact: Next Generation Refrigerants for a Sustainable Tomorrow
  20. Decarbonizing API manufacturing: Unpacking the cost and regulatory requirements
  21. Getting Started: Low carbon clinical care in hospitals
  22. Evidence that telehealth cuts carbon emissions grows
  23. Green health: how to decarbonise global healthcare systems
  24. Climate change – World Health Organisation
  25. Health and Climate Change – World Bank
  26. Climate change and health – Better Health